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Pre Game
00:00
Since Round 12, Carlton have transitioned their possession chains from defensive 50 to their forward 50 (30 per cent of total chains) for a score (11.5 per cent) at higher rates than any other side in the AFL in their last four matches.
Quarter 1
00:00
Q1 is now underway.
01:32
SCORE
BEHIND - Blues (Jack Newnes)
07:25
SCORE
BEHIND - Blues (Sam Walsh)
08:43
SCORE
GOAL - Cats (Esava Ratugolea)
09:05
Geelong get the first goal of the game off the back of their first mark inside 50 for the match, a contested mark to Esava Ratugolea. Geelong have converted 91 per cent of their contested marks to goals since Round 12, the highest conversion rate of any side from this shot source.
09:54
SCORE
GOAL - Blues (Sam Petrevski-Seton)
09:56
A relatively slow start to the match on the scoreboard by both sides so far. Geelong and Carlton are two of the three teams that have been outscored by their opponents inside the opening 10 minutes by an average of at least four points per game since Round 12, with Fremantle the third and bottom club in this group.
11:56
SCORE
BEHIND - Blues (Sam Petrevski-Seton)
17:38
SCORE
BEHIND - Blues (Ed Curnow)
18:21
All four of Carlton's behinds in the first term have been kicked from between 41-50 metres out from goal. Since Round 12, Carlton have the second-lowest goalkicking accuracy of any side in the AFL from this distance (21.4 per cent).
18:52
SCORE
GOAL - Cats (Jed Bews)
22:28
SCORE
BEHIND - Cats (Gary Rohan)
23:01
All of Geelong points in the opening term have been launched from Possession Gains in between the 50-metre arc's. Prior to Round 17, Geelong have outscored their opponents by a goal a game from chains launched in midfield, the sixth-highest average margin from this zone of any side in 2021.
25:25
SCORE
BEHIND - Blues (Patrick Cripps)
27:09
Zach Tuohy plays game 100 for Geelong against his former club, and has had a strong first quarter performance to mark the occasion. He leads all players on the ground with 11 disposals and four Intercept Possessions, and is equal-top for uncontested possessions (six) and groundball gets (three).
27:59
Both Geelong (two of five, 40 per cent) and Carlton (five of 11, 45 per cent) lost a large amount of their defensive one-on-one contests in the first term. Prior to the start of Round 17, Carlton (23 per cent, ranked third) and Geelong (26 per cent, ranked seventh) were top eight teams in this metric in 2021.
Quarter 2
00:00
Q2 is now underway.
01:55
SCORE
GOAL - Cats (Isaac Smith)
01:59
All three of Geelong's goals, including the first of the second quarter to Isaac Smith, have been launched from defensive half Intercept Possessions. Since Round 12, Geelong average just under five goals per game from this source, ranked second in the AFL during this period.
03:17
SCORE
BEHIND - Blues (Rushed)
05:21
SCORE
BEHIND - Cats (Max Holmes)
07:02
Blues Interchange - Patrick Cripps off due to an injury.
08:22
SCORE
BEHIND - Blues (Harry McKay)
08:38
In the first term, Carlton played on immediately from just two of their 24 marks recorded (eight per cent play-on rate). Already in the second quarter, they have played-on from six of their eight marks recorded so far (75 per cent play-on rate).
12:51
SCORE
BEHIND - Blues (Harry McKay)
14:06
Cam Guthrie has recorded as many post-clearance tackles as Carlton (three) has so far this term.
15:15
SCORE
BEHIND - Cats (Esava Ratugolea)
21:56
SCORE
BEHIND - Cats (Gary Rohan)
23:08
Geelong have recorded 14 of the last 17 inside 50's in the first half, yet have scored just 0.3.3 from these entries. Geelong have scored a goal from 25.5 per cent of their inside 50's in their last four matches, the most efficient goalscoring rate in this category of any side since Round 12.
23:55
SCORE
BEHIND - Blues (Rushed)
25:06
Prior to Round 17, Carlton had conceded over 20 points per game on average after the 20 minute mark of the first two quarters combined, the highest total score conceded of any side in 2021. To half time in today's match, they surrendered just two total points to Geelong in this period of each of the first two quarters.
Quarter 3
00:00
Q3 is now underway.
00:51
SCORE
BEHIND - Blues (Harry McKay)
01:24
SCORE
BEHIND - Cats (Rushed)
02:25
SCORE
BEHIND - Blues (Matthew Owies)
04:51
SCORE
BEHIND - Blues (Matthew Owies)
05:06
Despite getting the first three set shot opportunities of the quarter, Carlton have only managed to register a behind from each of them as a result. From shots at goal beyond 15 metres out from goal, Carlton have scored 0.9.9 from 12 shots at goal in today's match.
06:06
SCORE
GOAL - Cats (Brandan Parfitt)
07:57
SCORE
GOAL - Cats (Gary Rohan)
08:10
Geelong have kicked goals from back-to-back possession chains to compound the Blues goalkicking woes to start the second half. Geelong have won 10 of the first 15 contested possessions in this half, including 9-4 post-clearance contested possessions.
10:42
SCORE
BEHIND - Cats (Brad Close)
12:57
The gap between each respective team's kicking efficiency has grown in the third term, with Geelong kicking at 93 per cent efficiency, compared to Carlton's 55 per cent kicking efficiency to this point of the quarter.
14:46
SCORE
BEHIND - Blues (Rushed)
20:05
SCORE
BEHIND - Cats (Max Holmes)
22:18
SCORE
GOAL - Cats (Shaun Higgins)
22:51
After failing to score a point from a stoppage in the first half, Geelong have now kicked back-to-back goals from a Clearance, including that goal to Shaun Higgins, to further extend their lead. Since Round 12, Geelong have outscored their opponents by five points per game from this source, ranked seventh in the AFL.
24:44
SCORE
GOAL - Blues (Harry McKay)
26:46
Harry McKay gets the Blues their first goal from 12 set shot attempts. If Carlton stand any chance of winning this match, they will need to convert as many set shots as they can, as they account for 62 per cent of the goals they have scored since Round 12, the third-largest ratio of any side from this shot type in their last four matches.
29:01
If Carlton can fix their inaccuracy in front of goal, they stand a chance only three goals down. Eight of their 10 kicks in inside 50 in the third term found a teammate, including three marks. They also held 57 per cent time in forward half during the third term.
Quarter 4
00:00
Q4 is now underway.
02:09
SCORE
GOAL - Cats (Zach Tuohy)
02:23
Geelong's first goal of the final term takes their tally of points launched from defensive half chains to 33 for the match. Carlton by comparison have launched five points from their defensive half in today's match.
03:45
SCORE
BEHIND - Blues (Matthew Kennedy)
05:18
SCORE
BEHIND - Cats (Gary Rohan)
06:23
The Blues turn the ball over directly from the kick-in following Gary Rohan's behind and Zach Tuohy makes it two goals from two attempts in the final term in his milestone match. Geelong has now outscored Carlton 6.7.43 to 0.7.7 from Intercept Possession chains in today's match.
12:21
Despite winning the first four clearances of the final term, only one of these clearances for Geelong was effective, with the other three resulting in Carlton gaining possession.
14:48
SCORE
GOAL - Cats (Rhys Stanley)
18:00
SCORE
GOAL - Blues (Sam Walsh)
19:38
Carlton get their third goal of the match through Sam Walsh, and their first goal from a defensive half chain in today's match.
21:34
SCORE
BEHIND - Cats (Rushed)
22:32
Blues Interchange - Zac Williams and is possibly out for the game.
23:03
The Blues have kept their opponents to less than 75 points in five games this year, winning on each occasion. It looks as though today might be their first such loss, with their poor kicking efficiency around the ground and especially in front of goal to blame.
23:56
SCORE
GOAL - Cats (Max Holmes)
24:33
Cats Interchange - Gary Rohan and is possibly out for the game.
26:54
SCORE
GOAL - Blues (Sam Walsh)
28:26
SCORE
GOAL - Blues (Harry McKay)
28:46
Geelong won against Essendon last week despite losing the inside 50 count by 17, the third-largest deficit of the round in this category. Today, however, they look as though they'll win this count by roughly 20 off the back of converting the Blues poor kicking into forward entries and points off of intercept possessions which they have outscored the Blues 8.8.56 to 3.7.25.
30:13
SCORE
BEHIND - Cats (Rushed)
30:43
After a dour first half, the Cats kicked on and used their efficiency by foot, and their opponents lack thereof, to win comfortably by 26 points. 2.7.19 for Carlton from set shots compared to 7.5.47 to Geelong was the difference in today's match.
30:52
Geelong were lead by Cam Guthrie's team-high 28 disposals and 12 contested possessions, as well as Tom Stewart's 10 Intercept Possessions, 621 metres gained and two goal launches, and the team's 14 offensive on-on-one contest wins to Carlton's four.