Match

Carlton vs Brisbane Lions

Commentary / 05 May 2023

Pre Game

00:00
The 108-point win by the Blues last week was only the second time in their history that they have won by more than 100 points outside of Victoria. The only other such instance was the inaugural game for Gold Coast in 2011.

Quarter 1

00:00
Q1 is now underway.
00:49
The first score of the game to the Lions was sourced from a forward 50 stoppage. Brisbane averages 15.6 points per game from this source (ranked No.1) and the AFL average is only 8.3 points.
00:50
SCORE BEHIND - Lions (Charlie Cameron)
03:11
A number of early stoppages to start this game. Brisbane has averaged 67 around-the-ground stoppages in its games this season, which is the fifth-most and has ranked in the top-3 for this measure in each of the last three seasons.
04:04
SCORE BEHIND - Lions (Rushed)
04:30
SCORE GOAL - Lions (Lincoln McCarthy)
04:36
The first goal of the game to the Lions was sourced from the first forward half intercept of the game. Brisbane averages 32.1 points per game from this source (ranked third).
05:43
SCORE GOAL - Blues (Sam Docherty)
05:56
A centre bounce goal is the first score tonight for the Blues. In six of the first eight games last season, Carlton outscored its opposition by at least 16 points from centre bounces. Last week against West Coast was the first time since that period that the Blues have done this again.
06:50
SCORE GOAL - Lions (Jack Gunston)
07:06
Lachie Neale has won two early centre bounce clearances for the Lions with the second launching the goal to Jack Gunston. Brisbane has an early 11-6 lead in contested possessions with Neale and Charlie Cameron winning such possessions in that scoring chain.
09:14
Carlton averages a competition-high 109.9 marks per game but has taken only one mark so far tonight with Brisbane restricting the ball movement of the Blues.
09:37
SCORE GOAL - Lions (Joe Daniher)
10:36
Two forward half intercepts for two goals now for the Lions tonight. Brisbane has scored 148 points per 100 such intercepts this season (ranked second).
11:59
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Josh Honey)
13:24
Brisbane has scored from 47 percent of its inside 50 entries this season (ranked fourth) but has scored from its first five entries tonight.
14:18
SCORE GOAL - Blues (Charlie Curnow)
14:32
The first disposal tonight for Charlie Curnow is a goal and it followed a contested mark. Curnow is ranked No.1 in the AFL for contested marks this season, and teammate Harry McKay is ranked second.
17:25
Carlton has an early 5-1 lead in contested marks, with four of these marks being intercepts (and the other leading to the Curnow goal). Since Round 4, the Blues have taken 7.5 more contested marks per game than their opponents (ranked No.1).
18:36
SCORE GOAL - Blues (Ed Curnow)
19:28
The last two goals for the Blues have come from chains launched with an intercept mark. Both teams average 17 intercept marks per game and Carlton currently leads 5-4 in this measure.
20:30
SCORE GOAL - Blues (Corey Durdin)
22:00
The Blues lead the tackle count 13-7 and have stuck 76 percent of their tackle attempts this quarter, while the Lions have only successfully applied a tackle from 44 percent of their attempts.
25:27
Across the last four rounds, Brisbane has taken 20 marks inside 50 per game, which is ranked second and up from 9.7 from its first three games. Zac Bailey has just taken its first such mark tonight.
26:00
SCORE GOAL - Lions (Zac Bailey)
28:44
Brisbane now leads 7-3 in forward half intercepts with these helping the Lions generate the last four inside 50 entries of the game. After scoring a goal from each of the first two such intercepts, Brisbane has not scored from the last five.
28:48
SCORE BEHIND - Lions (Ryan Lester)
30:44
SCORE GOAL - Lions (Charlie Cameron)
31:17
The Lions lead 16-14 in midfield intercepts and 24-6 in points scored from this source following the last goal to Charlie Cameron.
32:37
SCORE GOAL - Blues (Harry McKay)
32:52
The aerial strength of the Blues continues to be on show with Carlton now leading 9-2 in contested marks and this being the main reason the Blue lead the contested possession count (43-36).
33:52
Carlton has conceded only 76 points per game this season (ranked third defensively) and since Round 2, Brisbane has conceded only 77 points per game. However, in the opening term, both teams were able to score five goals in an entertaining and offensive game.

Quarter 2

00:00
Q2 is now underway.
00:14
Brisbane is the No.1 ranked team in the second quarter this season, outscoring its opposition by an average of 11.9 points in this period, while Carlton has won every second quarter this season.
03:51
SCORE GOAL - Lions (Charlie Cameron)
04:06
Some excellent forward 50 pressure from Brisbane and Charlie Cameron generated the last goal. The Lions recorded 47 points from forward 50 chains last round (ranked No.1), which was their third-most since 2016.
07:04
SCORE BEHIND - Lions (Jack Gunston)
08:48
Both teams are recording pressure ratings above 200 this quarter. Carlton recorded a pressure factor of 225 in the second half last week against the Eagles, which is the highest of any team after half-time this year.
11:42
Blake Acres has won 36 and 34 disposals respectively from his last two games, which are the only two times he has recorded more than 30 disposals in a match. Acres currently has a game-high 13 disposals tonight.
12:39
Blues Interchange - Harry McKay off due to the blood rule.
13:26
SCORE BEHIND - Lions (Rushed)
14:22
Jesse Motlop has already recorded a career-high six tackles for the Blues including two in the forward 50, but has had just one disposal so far.
16:58
SCORE BEHIND - Lions (Rushed)
17:37
Charlie Cameron continues to look dangerous for the Lions with his four score involvements including two goals and one assist. Cameron has already applied three tackles in the forward 50 and is the No.1 ranked player on the ground for forward half pressure and ranking points.
18:29
SCORE BEHIND - Lions (Josh Dunkley)
19:27
Brisbane has generated six of the last eight inside 50 entries and had the last five scores of the game in a period of territorial control.
20:03
SCORE GOAL - Lions (Jack Gunston)
20:12
Both of the goals to the Lions this quarter have followed forward haf intercepts. Brisbane leads 5-1 in this measure during the second quarter and 13-4 overall. This has been converted into a 27-6 lead in points scored from forward half intercepts.
21:42
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Charlie Curnow)
24:36
Both of these teams have averaged 4.6 forward 50 clearances per game this season, but Brisbane has scored 15.6 points per game from this source (ranked No.1) and Carlton only 4.3 points (ranked 17th). Tonight they have each won three such clearances and neither team has scored a goal from this source.
25:42
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Alex Cincotta)
26:29
SCORE GOAL - Blues (Jesse Motlop)
26:42
Carlton had generated four consecutive inside 50 entries leading to the goal for Jesse Motlop. The Blues have recorded the last four forward half intercepts with this being the source of the Motlop goal.
29:37
The Blues lead post-clearance contested possessions 47-33 including 28-20 in post-clearance ground balls. The pre-clearance contested possession count is more even (33-32 to Carlton).
30:25
Brisbane has been able to restrict Carlton to a kicking efficiency of only 57 percent in the first half (while recording kicking efficiency of 65 percent) with a pressure rating of 195 contributing to this. The Blues are ranked second for differential in this measure in 2023.

Quarter 3

00:00
Q3 is now underway.
00:11
Brisbane has averaged a competition-low 48.3 tackles per game this season. In the first half, the Lions led the tackle count 44-41 with 28 in the second quarter.
01:27
SCORE GOAL - Lions (Zac Bailey)
01:36
An intercept mark and goal to Zac Bailey to start the third quarter for the Lions who have kicked the opening goal in each term. Brisbane has now scored 2.5.17 from seven forward 50 chains, while Carlton has scored 0.2.2 from four such chains.
06:01
SCORE BEHIND - Lions (Joe Daniher)
06:23
Brisbane has had the first four inside 50 entries of the third quarter and recorded 78 percent time in forward half with Carlton struggling to move the ball from its back half.
08:32
SCORE BEHIND - Lions (Lachie Neale)
09:11
Josh Dunkley has been prominent tonight for the Lions. Dunkley is the No.1 ranked player for tackles (9), metres gained (425) and ranking points.
11:42
The Blues have been awarded more 50-metre penalties this season (16) than any other team, and for the second time tonight, a shot-at-goal opportunity has arisen following such a penalty in their defensive 50.
12:28
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Josh Honey)
14:06
The goal to Charlie Cameron was again launched by an intercept. Brisbane now leads 54-27 in points scored from this source and since Round 4, has scored 72.5 points per game from intercept possessions (ranked No.1).
17:20
Carlton has lost six of its last seven matches against Brisbane, including each of its last three by an average of 23 points per game which is the current margin in this game.
18:19
SCORE GOAL - Lions (Charlie Cameron)
18:42
Four goals now to Charlie Cameron among his game-high six score involvements. Cameron has game-highs for both forward 50 disposals (8) and forward 50 tackles (4) and continues to present problems for opposing defences when deep in the Brisbane forward line.
21:19
Lions Interchange - Keidean Coleman off due to an injury.
21:49
SCORE GOAL - Lions (Zac Bailey)
21:57
Brisbane now leads 23-11 in forward half intercepts and 47-14 in points scored from this source following the last goal to Zac Bailey.
24:20
Jack Payne has not been directly out-marked in any of the 20 one-on-one contests he has defended this season (including two tonight) and is one of only two of the top-25 players for such contests with an unblemished record.
26:56
Brisbane has edged Carlton in contested possession this quarter (35-32) but has used an 11-2 dominance in forward half intercepts to dominate territory this term.
27:25
SCORE GOAL - Lions (Zac Bailey)
28:07
Nine of the last 11 goals to Brisbane including five unanswered in this quarter. The Lions now lead 72-27 in points scored from turnovers and have kicked four of their goal from within 15 metres.
29:47
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Charlie Curnow)
30:28
A dominant quarter from the Lions who won the inside 50 count 14-6 with speedy forwards Zac Bailey and Charlie Cameron sharing all five goals from their five kicks that quarter. Cameron has won nine contested possessions in the forward 50 tonight, which is more than double any other player.

Quarter 4

00:00
Q4 is now underway.
00:54
Sam Walsh has won 17 contested possessions tonight for Carlton. Only once in his career has he won more (21). Walsh has gained just 236 metres per game this season, which is the fewest of his career, and has recorded only 169 metres gained tonight.
02:23
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Rushed)
02:45
Harris Andrews has been primarily opposed to Harry McKay tonight and has restricted the Blue to just one score involvement. Andrews has recorded six intercepts (including four intercept marks), nine spoils and four tackles in a strong defensive game.
03:41
SCORE GOAL - Blues (Adam Cerra)
04:00
The goal to Adam Cerra was the first of the night for either team to come from a forward half stoppage. Carlton now leads 20-9 in points scored from stoppages tonight.
06:11
Prior to tonight, Oscar McInerney had won a total of 39 around-the ground stoppage first possessions, which is ranked second in the AFL behind only Patrick Cripps. McInerney has won ten such possessions tonight and Cripps only two.
07:08
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Rushed)
09:56
Josh Dunkley has recorded 28 pressure acts tonight including a game-high 12 tackles. No other player on the ground has recorded more than 20 pressure acts.
10:13
SCORE GOAL - Blues (Jesse Motlop)
10:50
Carlton has dominated both contested possessions (16-8) and uncontested possessions (29-12) in the final quarter and won five of the first six clearances.
13:06
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Rushed)
13:32
The Blues lead 32-7 in forward half disposals this quarter,10-3 inside 50 entries, and have had the last six scores in the game.
15:10
SCORE GOAL - Lions (Joe Daniher)
15:30
The goal to Joe Daniher was the first of the night for the Lions to come from a forward half stoppage. Brisbane averages 23.9 points per game from this source (ranked No.1).
16:56
SCORE GOAL - Blues (Oliver Hollands)
17:57
While Charlie Curnow has contributed just one goal tonight, he has been involved in a team-high seven scores which includes two score assists.
20:53
Carlton now leads the inside 50 count 44-40 but has recorded forward half kicking efficiency of 56 percent while Brisbane has posted kicking efficiency of 63 percent in its forward half.
22:43
SCORE GOAL - Blues (Corey Durdin)
23:05
In the final quarter, Carlton leads forward half intercepts 7-3 and also leads 13-0 in points scored from this source following the last goal to Corey Durdin. Brisbane still leads 47-27 overall in points scored from forward half intercepts.
24:16
SCORE GOAL - Lions (Harry Sharp)
25:00
Brisbane has kicked four goals tonight from the goal square and five in total from within 15 metres. Carlton has kicked no goals from the goal square and only one from within 15 metres.
27:04
For the third time this season, the Blues have played in front of more than 45,000 people at this venue. Before tonight, Carlton had lost 16 of its last 17 games at this venue when the crowd has been greater than 45,000. Its only such win coming on Good Friday this season.
28:32
SCORE BEHIND - Lions (Rushed)
29:44
SCORE GOAL - Blues (Matthew Kennedy)
31:11
While Carlton leads 17-9 in hitous to advantage, Brisbane has edged the Blues in clearances with Oscar McInerney contributing a game-high ten clearances.
31:36
SCORE GOAL - Lions (Eric Hipwood)
31:42
Five wins in a row for the Lions who were more efficient in the forward half. Brisbane finished ahead 29-18 in forward half intercepts and 85-48 in points scored from turnovers. The dangerous small forwards for the Lions in Charlie Cameron and Zac Bailey shared eight goals evenly.