Match

Sydney Swans vs Carlton

Commentary / 17 May 2024

Pre Game

00:00
Carlton has lost nine of its last 10 games at the SCG, with its last win coming in Round 17, 2019 by seven points.

Quarter 1

00:00
Q1 is now underway.
00:16
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Rushed)
00:25
Sydney is ranked in the bottom-4 for centre bounce clearance differential and points scored from this source and the opening score of the game to Carlton came from the first centre bounce clearance.
02:27
Mitch McGovern is averaging a career-high 18 disposals and 9.3 contested possessions this season, along with 5.7 intercept possessions, and has kicked the opening goal of the game tonight with his first disposal.
03:27
The first goal of the game to Carlton was launched with a defensive half intercept. The Blues have averaged 17.8 points per game from this source (ranked 13th), while the Swans have scored 30.3 points from these chains (ranked second).
03:56
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Rushed)
05:55
SCORE BEHIND - Swans (Nick Blakey)
06:07
Carlton has won four of the first five clearances to start the game including the first two centre bounce clearances. The Blues have broken even at clearances this season while the Swans are ranked fifth.
06:42
SCORE GOAL - Blues (Charlie Curnow)
07:10
The second goal for the Blues came from a kick-in chain. Carlton had generated only one score in its last six games from a kick-in.
09:31
A great start for Carlton who have dominated both contested possessions (16-10 including 5-0 hard ball gets) and uncontested possession (19-7). This is forcing the Swans to defend and they have applied the first 13 tackles of the game.
11:00
The third goal for the Blues followed a forward half intercept. Carlton averages 34.1 points per game from forward half intercepts (ranked No.1).
12:43
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Harry McKay)
13:14
Carlton has generated six scores from its first seven inside 50 entries. The Blues have scored from 48 percent of their entries this season (ranked second).
13:28
Blues Interchange - Jacob Weitering off due to an injury.
14:07
SCORE GOAL - Blues (Matthew Owies)
14:20
A dominant start by Carlton who now leads hard ball gets 11-2 and contested possessions 25-13. Sydney is ranked last in hard ball gets this season.
18:24
SCORE BEHIND - Swans (Taylor Adams)
19:34
In the last four rounds, Carlton has won the contested possession count by 19.3 per game (ranked No.1) and it has quickly established a 32-21 lead in this measure tonight.
20:45
SCORE BEHIND - Swans (Logan McDonald)
20:55
In the last four rounds, Sydney has recorded a shot-at-goal accuracy of 60.2 percent (ranked No.1) but has missed its first four shots at goal tonight (including one failing to score).
21:02
SCORE GOAL - Swans (Will Hayward)
21:46
The first goal of the game for the Swans followed a forward half intercept. Sydney has scored from 39 percent of its forward half intercepts this season (ranked No.1) and has averaged 32.1 points per game from this source (ranked second).
22:20
SCORE GOAL - Blues (Sam Walsh)
23:29
SCORE GOAL - Swans (James Jordon)
23:41
Carlton won five of the first six centre bounce clearances to start the game, but Sydney has kicked the only goal of the game from this source following the last such clearance by Brodie Grundy.
25:00
SCORE GOAL - Swans (Tom Papley)
25:51
Sydney has kicked three goals from its last five kicks following the goal from Tom Papley. The Swans are ranked in the top-4 in points scored from forward 50 stoppages which was the source of the goal from Papley.
28:12
SCORE BEHIND - Swans (Chad Warner)
29:39
SCORE BEHIND - Swans (Tom Papley)
30:27
After Carlton scored from six of its first seven inside 50 entries to start the game, Sydney has scored from six of its last seven entries with the momentum of the game turning.
30:47
SCORE BEHIND - Swans (Chad Warner)
32:42
Carlton was very efficient in the opening quarter with eight scores from just ten inside 50 entries. However, the last five scores all went to the Swans who outscored the Blues 21-6 during time-on.

Quarter 2

00:00
Q2 is now underway.
00:07
Sydney led the tackle count 22-5 in the opening quarter with James Rowbottom applying more tackles (6) than Carlton.
00:59
Nic Newman was the No.1 ranked player in the first quarter, leading all players for disposals (13) and metres gained (273) and recording nine kicks at 100 percent efficiency.
01:57
Sydney is ranked No.1 for differential in kicking efficiency this season and has been ranked in the top-3 for this measure in each of the last four seasons. Carlton leads this measure tonight (71 percent to 61 percent).
03:04
SCORE BEHIND - Swans (Logan McDonald)
03:21
Sydney has now scored 2.6 from shots at least 30 metres from goal. Carlton has scored 4.0 from shots in an equivalent range.
05:37
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Rushed)
06:46
Sydney has played from 23.5 percent of its marks this season. The Swans are yet to play on from any of their 18 marks tonight.
07:14
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Zac Williams)
08:03
SCORE GOAL - Swans (Tom Papley)
08:22
The last goal from Tom Papley came from a kick-in chain. This was the first score of the night for the Swans to come from a defensive 50 chain. Sydney averages 19.1 points per game from defensive 50 chains (ranked fourth).
11:06
The Blues have been out-tackled by a total of 52 across their last two games, which is their worst return over two weeks on record. The Swans currently lead the tackle count 33-15.
11:59
The last four goals have gone to the Swans who have also had 11 of the last 14 scores and taken the lead for the first time tonight.
14:35
SCORE BEHIND - Swans (Will Hayward)
16:21
Nic Newman has averaged 21 disposals and 466 metres gained per game this season. Newman has already recorded 21 disposals and 429 metres gained tonight in a prolific first half.
20:11
SCORE GOAL - Swans (Joel Amartey)
20:28
Sydney has now generated 12 inside 50 entries from 22 defensive midfield chains and scored 1.5.11 from this source. Carlton has generated only two inside 50 entries from 13 such chains.
22:13
SCORE GOAL - Swans (Chad Warner)
22:23
Six consecutive goals to the Swans and they have kicked three goals tonight from forward 50 stoppages. Carlton has conceded more points from opposition forward 50 stoppages than any other team this season.
23:37
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Orazio Fantasia)
25:28
Sydney leads 8-0 in running bounces (including six this quarter) and average 7.4 such bounces per game.
27:54
Sydney has recorded tackle efficiency of 79 percent while Carlton has managed to stick only 50 percent of its tackle attempts. James Rowbottom has already applied 12 tackles and his 60 pressure points are almost double any other player.
30:48
The Swans are the No.1 ranked team during the time on period of quarters this season and have outscored the Blues 27-7 during this period tonight. Chad Warner has had five of his game-high seven score involvements during this period.

Quarter 3

00:00
Q3 is now underway.
00:59
SCORE BEHIND - Swans (Tom Papley)
01:12
Tom Papley has had four score involvements tonight which have all come from his shots at goal (scoring 2.2). Papley had only kicked multiple goals in a game twice this season before tonight.
03:40
The Blues conceded a pressure factor of 202 last week against Melbourne, which is the highest they have conceded this year. The Swans have matched this figure tonight with the Blues again having to deal with a lot of pressure when moving the ball.
04:01
SCORE GOAL - Blues (Charlie Curnow)
04:20
The first goal of the third quarter has gone to the Blues following a midfield intercept. Carlton now leads 26-19 in points scored from turnovers.
05:29
SCORE GOAL - Swans (Isaac Heeney)
06:05
The Swans have now scored 5.4.34 from 15 forward half chains. The AFL average is a score from 35 percent of such chains. Carlton has scored 3.1.19 from 19 such chains.
06:30
SCORE GOAL - Swans (Chad Warner)
08:22
SCORE BEHIND - Swans (Hayden McLean)
09:05
Sydney has now scored 3.6.24 from set shots at goal while Carlton has scored 3.1.19 from its set shots. The Swans have also scored 4.7.31 from shots beyond 30 metres from goal while the Blues have scored 5.2.32 from such shots.
10:18
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Rushed)
10:31
Sydney has won all four centre bounce clearances this quarter and scored 1.1.7 from these chains. The Swans are ranked in the bottom-4 at winning centre bounce clearances this season.
11:06
SCORE GOAL - Swans (Isaac Heeney)
11:35
Isaac Heeney and Chad Warner had kicked 13 and 12 goals respectively this season heading into tonight, ranked second and third among midfielders in the AFL. The two Sydney stars have shared four goals evenly tonight in another potent performance.
12:12
SCORE GOAL - Swans (Sam Wicks)
12:40
The Swans have kicked 10 of the last 11 goals and now lead 19-3 in points scored from centre bounce clearances following the last goal from Sam Wicks.
13:37
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Charlie Curnow)
14:24
SCORE GOAL - Swans (Chad Warner)
14:35
Chad Warner has been involved in 11 scores now for the Swans which is four more than any other player. Warner also leads all Swans for metres gained (442) and contested possessions (10).
16:59
SCORE BEHIND - Swans (Isaac Heeney)
17:15
Sydney leads 15-2 in forward 50 disposals this quarter and has scored 5.3 from just 11 entries with Carlton struggling to disrupt the ball movement of the Swans.
19:21
Sydney has won the contested possessions this quarter 24-13 against a team that is ranked No.1 in this measure. This includes winning four of the five one-on-one contests (and the other contest was a draw).
20:30
Swans Interchange - Robbie Fox and is possibly out for the game.
22:00
SCORE BEHIND - Swans (Tom Papley)
22:51
Carlton has averaged seven missed tackles per game this season. Tonight the Blues have already missed 14 tackles while the Swans have only missed two.
24:37
Carlton has outscored its opposition by an average of 6.4 points in the third quarter this season (ranked second). Sydney has won this period by an average of 11.1 points (ranked No.1) and has again been strong in this period tonight.
25:33
SCORE GOAL - Swans (Harry Cunningham)
25:46
The Swans have kicked now six goals in a row for the second time tonight following the last goal from Harry Cunningham and has kicked 12 of the last 13 goals.
27:15
SCORE GOAL - Swans (Hayden McLean)
27:56
Sydney has generated an inside 50 entry from 52 percent of its defensive midfield chains while Carlton has generated an inside 50 entry from only 23 percent of such chains with the difference in quality of ball movement stark.
28:55
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Charlie Curnow)
29:52
SCORE GOAL - Blues (Matthew Kennedy)
30:21
A run of seven goals to the Swans has ended with a goal from Matthew Kennedy for the Blues. Kennedy is the No.1 ranked Blue for pressure tonight and his seven tackles are three more than any teammate.
31:52
Sydney dominated the third quarter with 8-1 centre bounce clearances converted into 19-1 points from this source. The Swans also won more forward half intercepts (9-2) and contested possessions (39-25).

Quarter 4

00:00
Q4 is now underway.
00:47
James Rowbottom has applied a career-high 14 tackles tonight, is the No.1 ranked pressure player, and has also won an equal team-high five clearances.
00:56
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Patrick Cripps)
03:45
Carlton has scored two goals from its two forward 50 intercepts tonight with the last goal from Zac Williams coming from this source following his second forward 50 tackle of the night. Sydney leads 9-4 in forward 50 tackles and has also scored two goals from forward 50 intercepts.
05:23
Sydney now leads centre bounce clearances 15-10 and has converted this with 31-4 points scored from this source. The Swans had kicked only ten goals from centre bounces this season before tonight with five of those coming against Essendon in Round 2.
08:23
The Swans are ranked No.1 this season in both points scored (average 101.4) and points conceded (66.8) with the current score (102-64) on-trend.
10:04
Charlie Curnow had scored 25.4 from within 40 metres this season, and 2.12 from beyond 40 metres before tonight. Curnow has kicked 1.0 from within 40 metres and 1.2 from beyond 40 metres tonight.
11:05
SCORE GOAL - Swans (James Rowbottom)
12:06
The Blues have recorded a hitout-to-advantage rate of 35.7 per cent at centre bounces this season (ranked No.1), but have not won a hitout-to-advantage at a centre bounce tonight and trail 5-17 in centre bounce hitouts.
12:39
SCORE BEHIND - Blues (Harry McKay)
13:25
SCORE BEHIND - Swans (Joel Amartey)
14:32
SCORE BEHIND - Swans (Sam Wicks)
14:52
Chad Warner has had nine running bounces tonight and the Swans now lead 17-0 in such bounces and 17-3 in broken tackles with Warner also leading in this count (seven).
18:36
SCORE GOAL - Swans (Hayden McLean)
18:47
Sydney is averaging 24.6 disposals per goal this season, which is the best ratio in the competition, and has bettered this tonight with a goal every 19.2 disposals.
19:57
Since Round 16 last season, both of these teams have had 14 Home and Away wins to their name (ranked equal-first) with the Swans going one ahead tonight.
21:31
SCORE BEHIND - Swans (Braeden Campbell)
22:52
Chad Warner has recorded a game-high 14 score involvements including three assists and three goals. Warner has only once had more than 14 score involvements in a game (19 against West Coast last season when the Swans won by 171 points).
25:40
Sydney has scored from 39 per cent of its forward half intercepts this season (ranked No.1) and has averaged 32.1 points per game from this source (ranked second). Tonight the Swans have scored 4.6.30 from 19 such intercepts.
27:24
Another impressive win from the Swans who gave the Blues a four-goal start and still won by 52 points. Sydney finished with 51-13 points from stoppages including 31-4 from centre bounces. Despite having more disposals the Swans also applied 21 more tackles.